Monthly reportPublished 16 September 202616 pagesMENA HOMES Research Team

Dubai Residential Market Report — May 2026

Dubai recorded 10,119 residential transactions in May 2026, with a total value of AED 24.05 billion. Transaction activity declined 26.3% month on month, while total value fell 42.0%. Average residential pricing stood at AED 1,887 per sq.ft, down 10.1% month on month. Off-plan transactions remained dominant, accounting for 73.3% of total residential sales.

May 2026 Institutional Market Watch Summary

Dubai recorded 10,119 residential transactions in May 2026, with a total value of AED 24.05 billion. Transaction activity declined 26.3% month on month, while total value fell 42.0%. Average residential pricing stood at AED 1,887 per sq.ft, down 10.1% month on month. Off-plan transactions remained dominant, accounting for 73.3% of total residential sales.

Dubai Market Performance

Apartments remained the largest residential segment, recording 8,689 transactions worth AED 14.73 billion. Off-plan sales reached 7,420 transactions worth AED 15.67 billion, while ready properties recorded 2,699 transactions worth AED 8.39 billion. The market remained heavily apartment-led and off-plan-led, although overall turnover weakened materially versus April.

Abu Dhabi Market

Abu Dhabi recorded 2,015 residential transactions worth AED 8.29 billion. Off-plan sales accounted for 1,645 transactions and 81.6% of activity, while ready sales contributed 366 transactions worth AED 1.17 billion. Apartments led transaction volume, while villas carried significant transaction value despite lower deal counts.

Pricing & Yield

Dubai's headline residential sale price was AED 1,887 per sq.ft, with a headline gross rental yield of 6.52%. Apartments delivered a gross yield of 6.69%, compared with 4.05% for villas. Cap rates were not calculated because the imported datasets do not contain the required net operating income and operating-expense information.

Market Structure & Liquidity

Dubai's market remained concentrated in off-plan apartment activity, with liquidity clustered in a relatively small number of projects. Madinat Al Mataar and Majan were among the highest-activity corridors, while ready assets continued to provide a smaller but meaningful secondary liquidity pool. Project selection remained important due to the concentration of trading activity.

Micro-Market Highlights

Madinat Al Mataar led the selected Dubai micro-markets with a 11.9% market share and 1,191 off-plan transactions. Majan followed with an 8.0% market share and 785 off-plan transactions. Dubai Land Residence Complex and Jumeirah Village Circle also showed active mid-market demand, while Business Bay and Palm Deira were more selective, higher-value markets.

Risk Assessment

The main risks in May were weaker transaction momentum, lower market value, softer pricing, and continued off-plan concentration. Off-plan accounted for 73.3% of transactions, while the five largest areas represented 34.7% of activity. Rental activity remained substantial, with 48,206 registrations, of which 62.1% were renewals.

Overall Market View

May 2026 represented a clear cooling month for Dubai residential real estate. Transaction volume, total value, and average pricing all declined materially compared with April. Despite the slowdown, off-plan and apartment activity remained the main sources of liquidity, while the ready market continued to provide meaningful secondary depth. The market therefore remained active, but conditions favored more selective, project-specific positioning.

Methodology

Published numerical metrics are derived from imported Dubai Land Department (DLD) sales and rental records and Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre (ADREC) sales data. AI is used only for narrative interpretation and is not the source of published numerical market figures.